my RULES

1. "MUST" take every signal shown by system
2. "NEVER" invest > 30% out from capital, balance capital for backup
3. "INCREASE" position only after 20-30% increase in capital

*Futures Crude Palm Oil: current position for GT2
Step 1: Holding> February contract LONG 3053 (01.12.11)
Step 2: Stop> i dont use STOP!!
Step 3: Entry> No SAR signal yet..

*Futures Kuala Lumpur Index: current position for RJ1
Step 1: Holding> LONG 1436 November (24.11.11)
Step 2: Stop> i dont use STOP!!
Step 3: Entry> No SAR signal yet..

*will be updated after market

*PLEASE SCROLL DOWN DOWN DOWN TO VIEW MY GT2 SYSTEM PERFORMANCE

Wise Words from Ed Seykota

If I am bullish, I neither buy on a reaction, nor wait for strength; I am already in. I turn bullish at the instant my buy stop is hit, and stay bullish until my sell stop is hit. Being bullish and not being long is illogical. ~ "Market Wizards, Interview with Top Traders - Jack D. Schwager"

Thursday, January 29, 2009

FKLI LONG trade that I SELL before CNY...

*aaarrrrggghhhhhhhhhhhh..... 23.01>LONG 869-SELL 881 = +12 (29.01)

FKLI & CPO (January 2009)

>> $76,744

1)07.01>FKLI LONG 5@940.5-SELL 5@934.5 = -30 (07.01)> -1600= 75,144

2)07.01>FKLI SHOT 5@934.5-BUY 5@928.5 = +30 (07.01)> +1400= 76,544

3)07.01>FKLI SHOT 3@924.5-BUY 3@923.5 = +3 (07.01)> +90= 76,634

4)09.01>FKLI LONG 6@923-SELL 6@928 = +30 (09.01)> +1380= 78,014
>>> 1st week january profit = +$1,270

5)12.01>FKLI LONG 6@929.5-SELL 6@936 = +39 (12.01) +1830= 79,844

6)12.01>FKLI LONG 6@929-SELL 6@925 = -24 (12.01) -1320= 78,524

7)12.01>FKLI SHOT 5@925-BUY 5@926 = -5 (12.01) -350= 78,174

8)13.01>FKLI SHOT 5@915-BUY 5@913.5 = +7.5 (13.01) +275= 78,449

9)14.01>FKLI SHOT 8@916-BUY 8@919 = -24 (14.01) -1360= 77,089

10)14.01>FKLI LONG 8@919-SELL 8@915 = -32 (14.01) -1,760= 75,329
>>> 2nd week january loss = -$2,685

11)19.01>FKLI LONG 5@900-SELL 5@891 = -45 (19.01) -2350= 72,979

12)19.01>FKLI SHOT 5@891-BUY 5@896 = -25 (19.01) -1350= 71,629

13)20.01>FKLI SHOT 2@876-BUY 2@874 = +4 (21.01) +160= 71,789 *2nd entry

14)22.01>FKLI LONG 3@876-SELL 3@874 = -6 (22.01) -360= 71,429

15)22.01>FKLI SHOT 3@874-BUY 3@870 = +12 (23.01) +540= 71,969

16)23.01>FKLI LONG 3@869-SELL 3@867.5 = -4.5 (23.01) -285= 71,684
>>> 3rd week january loss = -$3,645

17)29.01>FKLI SHOT 3@882-BUY 3@879 = +9 (29.01) +390= 72,074
>>> 4th week january profit/loss = +$390

JANUARY:- fkli & cpo profit/loss = -$4,670/-6% ($72,074:+50%)

Monday, January 26, 2009

An Introduction To CANDLESTICKS, PART 7

PART 7

Candlestick Line Time Frames

One of the beautiful attributes of the candlestick line is that the same
analysis can be applied to multiple time frames.

The time frame of a candlestick line is the time duration between the
candlestick's opening price and closing price.

For example, a daily candlestick chart would consist of candlestick
lines with opening prices corresponding with the day's opening price,
and closing prices corresponding with the day's closing price (Figure
25).

A 5-minute candlestick chart would have candlestick lines with time
duration of 5 minutes between each candlestick's opening price and
closing price.

Most good computer charting software allows easy conversion from
one time frame to the next.

As we will see in latter examples, utilizing several different time
frames in viewing a stocks candlesticks pattern is a very effective way
to read the underlying sentiments behind a stocks movement.

Figure 25

Dissecting a Candlestick

Changing time frames when viewing candlestick patterns is useful tool
when looking for patterns leading up to good trading opportunities.

For example, consider the Bullish Harami Pattern that is manifested on
the Daily time frame chart (Figure 26).

The same stock plotted on a 15 min time frame chart shows that the
stock is actually setting up for a Bullish Reversal Consolidation pattern.

Using the Daily chart and the 15 min chart together make it easier to
find possible trade opportunities.

For example, the trader can scan for Harami setups on the Daily chart,
and then pull up a 15 min chart to confirm the stock is experiencing a
consolidation pattern preparing for a break out.

Figure 26

Figure 27

Disclaimer: Futures, forex, stock, and options trading is not appropriate for everyone. There is a substantial risk of loss associated
with trading these markets. Losses can and will occur. No system or methodology has ever been developed that can guarantee
profits or ensure freedom from losses. No representation or implication is being made that using the Candlestick Shop
methodology or system will generate profits or ensure freedom from losses.

An Introduction To CANDLESTICKS, PART 6

PART 6

Increasing the odds

As we learned in the last section, the best trading opportunities
present themselves just after a breakthrough in price consolidation.

Not every consolidation pattern; however, is tradable.
There are additional patterns, which significantly increase the odds of
the trade following through in the desired direction.

The tools, which we present, are 1) support/resistance 2) trends, 3)
moving averages.

Support and Resistance

Support and resistance are general price areas that have halted the
movement of stock in the past.

Support lines are horizontal lines that correspond with an area where
stock previously bounced.

Resistance lines are horizontal lines corresponding with an area where
stock resisted moving through.

Support and resistance lines are used to help access how much the
stock price will remove before it is halted.

There are two main types of support and resistance; 1) Major price
support/resistance, and 2) Minor price support/resistance

Major Price Support/Resistance

Major Price Support is an artificial horizontal line representing an area
where a stocks downward movement was halted to give way to a new
upward movement (Figure 16).

Therefore, the price level is supporting the price of the stock.

Similarly, Major Price Resistance is an artificial horizontal line
representing an area where a stocks upward movement was halted to
give way to a new downward movement.

Therefore, the price level is resisting the price of the stock.

When considering a stock as a trading opportunity it is important to
note the location of the nearest support and resistance levels.

Stocks near areas of support make for better buy opportunities and
stocks near areas of resistance make for better short opportunities.

In the same way, the trader should be more cautious about shorting
stock above areas of support, and buying stock near areas of
resistance.


Figure 16

Minor Price Support/Resistance

Minor Price Support is an artificial horizontal line representing an area,
which previously served as price resistance, but has now transformed
to price support (Figure 17).

Likewise, Minor Price Resistance is an artificial horizontal line
representing an area, which previously served as price support, and
has now transformed to price resistance (Figure 18).

When considering a stock as a trading opportunity it is important to
note the location of the nearest support and resistance levels.

Stocks near areas of support make for better buy opportunities and
stocks near areas of resistance make for better short opportunities.

In the same way, the trader should be more cautious about shorting
stock above areas of support, and buying stock near areas of
resistance.

For an in-depth analysis of how minor support & resistance works, see
the free "Educational Section" of our main website at
http://www.candlestickshop.com

Figure 17

Figure 18

Trends

Every stock is in one of three states: 1) Up Trend, 2) Down Trend, and
3) Sideways Trend (Figure 20).

An Up Trend is defined by a series of higher highs and higher lows.

A Down Trend is defined by a series of lower highs followed by lower
lows.

A Sideways Trend is defined by a series of relatively equal highs and
lows.

Figure 20

Even the strongest stocks will need a period of rest through a pullback
in price or a period of marking time with little to no price movement.

A strong stock will often pull back in price as short to medium term
traders take their profits off the table, and in the process, increase
selling pressure, which will temporarily push the stock lower.

A strong stock, after rest will often resume its rally after these slight
pullbacks.

The trader has better odds in his favor by playing the stock in the
direction of the trend.

For example, stocks in and up trend can be bought, and stocks in a
downtrend can be shorted (Figures 21& 22).

A stock in a sideways pattern can be either bought our shorted if the
stock is on strong price support or resistance.

In otherwise, the trader should enter long positions only on up trending stocks that have pulled back for rest ready to resume the rally.

Likewise, the trader should enter short positions on down trending
stocks that have pulled back for rest ready to resume the decline.

Figure 21

Figure 22

Moving Averages

The most basic form of moving average, and the one we recommend to
all our traders is called the simple moving average.

The simple moving average is the average of closing prices for all price
points used.

For example, the simple 10 moving average would be defined as
follows:

10MA = (P1 + P2 + P3 + P4 + P5 + P6 + P7 + P8 + P9 + P10) / 10

Where P1 = most recent price, P2 = second most recent price and so
on

The term "moving" is used because, as the newest data point is added to the moving average, the oldest data point is dropped.

As a result, the average is always moving as the newest data is added.
Moving averages can be used as support and resistance levels.

Stocks tend to rebound off of moving averages much in the same way
that they rebound off major and minor support and resistance lines.

A moving average can be plotted using any period; however, the
periods that seem to provide the strongest support and resistance for
short term trading are the 10MA, 20MA, 50 MA, 100MA and 200MA.

Figure 23

Figure 24


An Introduction To CANDLESTICKS, PART 5

PART 5

Recognizing Reversal Signals

Throw a baseball straight up into air. As the ball approaches the top of
its projectile path it will decelerate to a speed of zero, and then
reverse downward picking up speed as it approaches the ground.

Now imagine yourself drilling into a piece of wood. You suddenly hit a
hard spot in the wood at which time bear down with all of your might
to overcome the temporary resistance created by the knot in the
wood.

When you penetrate the knot you surge forward and quickly poke
through to the other side. These are two analogies to help explain
the patterns of stocks as they transition between one move and the
next move.

When a stock is completing a move, it experiences a period of
deceleration, which is referred to by chartist as price consolidation.

Consolidation is one of the most important signals that a stock is about
to begin a new move.

The move can be a continuation in the same direction, or it can be a
reversal in the opposite direction.

The area of consolidation represents a battle zone where the bears are
at war with the bulls.

The outcome of the battle often defines the direction of the next move.

As short-term traders, it is important to identify these areas of
consolidation and enter a trade just as the new move is beginning.

During the consolidation period or 'battle zone', traders, both long and
short are patiently waiting on the sidelines watching to learn the
outcome of the battle.

As these winners emerge, there is often a scramble of traders jumping
in with the winning team.

The candlestick patterns gives the trader excellent clues on when this
move is about to take place, and helps the trader time his entry so
that he can get in at the very beginning.

There are four different consolidation patterns experienced by stocks.

They are 1) Bearish Continuation, 2) Bullish Continuation, 3) Bearish
Reversal, 4) Bullish Reversal.

The Bearish Continuation Consolidation Pattern

Several strong bearish candlesticks precede the Bearish Continuation
pattern where the bears are clearly in control (Figure 12).

The bears and bulls then begin to battle by pushing the stock up and
down in price in a tightly formed consolidation zone.

The narrowing size of the candlesticks toward a line of support
indicates that the bears are winning the battle.
The bulls finally weaken and allow the bears to penetrate the line of
support, at which time the bears quickly conquer new territory by
taking the stock to lower prices.

By recognizing the consolidation pattern the trader is able to short the
stock just after the stock breaks the line of support, and profit from
the sharp move downward.

The cause of the sharp sell off is fueled by the emotions of the traders
watching for the outcome of the battle. Traders who bought the stock
in the area of consolidation in hope of a rally off of support, are now
scrambling to exit their losing positions.

Traders who are short from the period before the area of consolidation
are realizing that their original entries were correct and are adding to
their winning positions.

Figure 12

The Bullish Reversal Consolidation Pattern

Several strong bearish candlesticks precede the Bullish Reversal
Continuation pattern where the bears are clearly in control (Figure 13).

The bears and bulls then begin to battle by pushing the stock up and
down in price in a tightly formed consolidation zone.

The narrowing size of the candlesticks toward a line against upward
resistance indicating that the bulls are winning territory from the
bears.

The bears finally weaken and allow the bulls to penetrate the line of
resistance, at which time the bulls quickly conquer new territory by
taking the stock to higher prices.

By recognizing the consolidation pattern the trader is able to buy the
stock just after the stock breaks the line of resistance, and profit from
the sharp move upward.

The cause of the rally is fueled by the emotions of the traders
watching for the outcome of the battle.

Additional traders who jump in to buy the stock now that its strength
has been confirmed fuel the sharp upward move.

Traders who are currently short the stock in the area of consolidation
waiting in hope of a breakdown, are now scrambling to cover their
short positions.

This buying action also fuels the fire pushing the stock to higher
prices.

Figure 13

The Bearish Reversal Consolidation Pattern

Several strong bullish candlesticks precede the Bearish Reversal
Continuation pattern where the bulls are clearly in control (Figure 14).

The bears and bulls then begin to battle by pushing the stock up and
down in price in a tightly formed consolidation zone.

The narrowing size of the candlesticks toward a line of support
indicates that the bears are winning the battle.

The bulls finally weaken and allow the bears to penetrate through the
line of support, at which time the bears quickly conquer new territory
by taking the stock to lower prices.

By recognizing the consolidation pattern the trader is able to sell short
the stock just after the stock breaks the line of support, and profit
from the sharp spike downward.

Additional traders who jump in to short the stock now that its
weakness has been confirmed fuel the sharp sell off.

Traders, who are currently long the stock in the area of consolidation
waiting in hope of a breakdown, are now scrambling to sell their long
positions.

This selling action also fuels the fire pushing the stock to lower prices.

Figure 14

The Bullish Continuation Consolidation Pattern

Several strong bullish candlesticks precede the Bullish Continuation
Consolidation Pattern where the bulls are clearly in control (Figure 15).

The bears and bulls then begin to battle by pushing the stock up and
down in price in a tightly formed consolidation zone.

The narrowing size of the candlesticks toward a line of resistance
indicates that the bulls are winning the battle.

The bears finally weaken and allow the bulls to penetrate the line of
resistance, at which time the bulls quickly conquer new territory by
taking the stock to higher prices.

By recognizing the consolidation pattern the trader is able to buy the
stock just after the stock breaks the line of resistance, and profit from
the sharp move upward.

The cause of the sharp sell off is fueled by the emotions of the traders
watching for the outcome of the battle.

Traders, who shorted the stock in the area of consolidation in hope of
a sell off in the area of consolidation, are now scrambling to exit their
losing positions.

Traders who are long from the period before the area of consolidation
are realizing that their original entries were correct and are adding to
their winning positions.

Figure 15

An Introduction To CANDLESTICKS, PART 4

PART 4

Buy on Greed, Sell on Fear

There are only two forces behind the supply and demand forces that
drive a stock's price higher or lower.

Those forces are the emotional forces of fear and greed. To illustrate
this point we refer to Figure 11.


Figure 11

Suppose you are a trader observing the bullish rally of Stock XYZ at
the beginning of the 3rd bullish green candlestick, and considering an
entry.

You have witnessed the stock rally huge for two days and know that
each trader who entered on the first two days is now a big winner.

Based on the emotion of greed you decide to enter at that beginning of
the 3 day, and mentally count your profits as the price rallies to a new
high.

After the stock closes, you brag to your friends at the golf course
regarding the great trade that you made that day.

You go home from the golf course and celebrate the victory with your
spouse and maybe even discuss how you will use the extra money that
you have earned through the trade.

Now keep in mind that the profit is only on paper and not one penny
has been earned yet.

The next morning you check the price of your position, with
expectations that your bullish stock will rocket to the moon! Now
imagine the emotion that goes through your mind when your position
not only fails to go higher, but also opens below your entry price.

What is the emotion that flows through your body as you not only see
your profits erode before your eyes, but now rob your account of
precious capital?

The emotion that you will experience is undoubtedly fear and will
prompt you to scramble to liquidate your position as soon as possible
to minimize your losses.

Now consider that there were also 2 or 3 thousand additional traders
who entered the same stock at around the same price with the hopes
of the gaining the same
profit.

All of these traders will be tripping over themselves trying to get out of
the stock.

As was illustrated in the previous section, this increase in fear results
in an increase in supply of the stock relative to the increase in
demand, and triggers the sharp decline in the price.

The deeper the red candlestick cuts into the bullish green candlesticks,
the more traders are thrown into losing positions, and thus the further
the price decline.

Perhaps you are beginning to realize the power of emotions in price
movements of a stock.

The technical analyst through candlestick reading is trained to read
this greed and fear emotions in the market and capitalize on them.

Capitalizing on Fear and Greed

From the previous section, we determined that price movements result
from massive emotions of fear and greed regarding trader's position in
the market with a given stock.

Recognizing the footprints of greed and fear is not difficult.
Recognizing the signs that the rally or decline before it happens is the
difficult part of trading. How many times has this situation happened
to you: You enter a trade based on a bullish reversal signal, but then
exit on a slight pull back only too see the stock rally to a new high
after you exit.

Or how often have you held on to a stock that experiences a bearish
pull back in hopes that it will turn around, only to see the stock
plummet to new lows before you finally concede to defeat and exit.

Unfortunately, there is no system that can predict with 100% accuracy
exactly where a greed rally or fear sell off begins. There are;
however, techniques based on candlestick patterns that help us locate
probable areas for these turning points. The rest of this section will
explore the techniques in identifying those probable areas that
properly managed will result in profits for the trader in
the long run.

An Introduction To CANDLESTICKS, PART 3

PART 3

Supply and Demand

A stock's price will adjust to higher or lower prices based strictly on
supply and demand principles.
In Figure 7 is shown a diagram of a green candlestick.

The green color of the candlestick indicates that the closing price of the
stock at the end of the day is higher than the opening price at the
beginning of the day.

Figure 7

As you will see, the candlestick's color and size provide very important
clues regarding the TRADER'S SENTIMENT toward a given stock's
future price.

Notice that 'trader's sentiment' is the key phrase here. In short term
trading, it is critical for the trader to have a clear understanding of
what other traders are thinking. As you will see, the most direct way to
get that understanding is through proper interpretation of the
candlestick.

Let's look at an example. In Figure 8 is shown a candlestick of XYZ
Company, which opened at 25 and closed at 25 3/8.

Figure 8

The candlestick is green in color, which gives us a quick visual signal
that the stock price has rallied higher during this period.

How can we use this information to help us understand what other
traders are thinking? To answer this question, we will follow the
candlestick's changes step by step to understand the mechanism which
is driving the stock price to move higher.

In Figure 8, we see the stock opens at 25, and then quickly rallies to 25
1/8. The reason the price moves to 25 1/8 is because there is a high
demand to buy the stock at 25 1/8, and a short supply of sellers
offering stock at 25 1/8.

Once all of the stock available at 25 1/8 is snatched up, the next group
of sellers steps up to offer their stock at 25 1/4.
All of the 25 1/4 stock is quickly snatched up because there are still a
larger number of traders willing to buy at 25 1/4 than sellers willing to
sell stock at 25 1/4.

Once the 25 1/4 stock is gone, the next group of sellers steps up to
offer their stock at 25 3/8. The 25 3/8 stock is quickly snatched up
too.

This process will repeat itself until the buyers loose interest in buying
the stock resulting in a reduction of demand.

The result of combining these steps is a green candlestick with an
opening price of 25, rallying to a closing price of 25 3/8.

During the rally period; however, the astute candlestick reader will be
able to observe the long green color of the candlestick, and deduce that
buyer demand is high.

Now there is only one reason why traders would increase demand by
stepping up to buy the stock, and that is because they think that the
stock will go up in the
near future. So by observing the candlestick color and size, the astute
candlestick reader is able to deduce exactly what other traders are
thinking, and that is that they think the stock price will go higher in the
future.

In Figures 9 & 10 we show an example of how the same principle in
reverse applies to the analyses of a red candlestick.

Figure 9

The red color of the candlestick indicates that the closing price of the
stock at the end of the day is lower than the opening price at the
beginning of the day.

In Figure 10, we see the stock opens at 25 3/8, and then quickly drops
to 25 1/4.

Figure 10

The reason the price moves to 25 1/4 is because there are many sellers
looking to unload there stock at 25 1/4, and a low number of buyers
willing to buy at 25 1/4.

Once all of the buyers have bought the stock at 25 1/4, the next group
of buyers steps up to bid for stock at the lower price of 25 1/8.

The desperate sellers quickly sell all of the stock at 25 1/8, and then
the next set of buyers step up at the price of 25.

This process will repeat itself until all of the sellers have unloaded all of
the stock that they want to sell, resulting in a reduction of supply.

The result is a red candlestick with an opening price of 25 3/8, falling to
a closing price of 25. During the stock's price fall; however, the astute
candlestick reader will be able to observe the long red color of the
candlestick, and deduce that demand for the stock is low.

Now there is only one reason why traders would increase the supply of
stock to sell, and that is because they think that the stock will go down
in the near future.

So by observing the candlestick color and size, the astute candlestick
reader is able to deduce exactly what other traders are thinking, and
that is that they think the stock price will go lower in the future.

An Introduction To CANDLESTICKS, PART 2

PART 2

One of the main differences between the Western Line and the
Japanese Candlestick line is the relationship between open and closing
prices. The Westerner places the greatest importance on the closing
price of a stock in relation to the prior periods close. The Japanese
place the highest importance on the close as it relates to the open of
the same day. You can see why the Candlestick Line and its highly
graphical representation of the open to close relationship is such an
indispensable tool for the Japanese trader. To illustrate the
difference, compare the daily chart plotted with Western Lines (Figure
3) with the exact same chart plotted with Japanese Candlestick lines
(Figure 4). In the Western bar chart as with the Japanese Candlestick
chart, it is easy to interpret the overall trend of the stock, but note
how much easier it is to interpret change in sentiment on a day to day
basis by viewing the change in real body color in the Japanese
Candlestick chart.

Figure 3

Figure 4

Trader's sentiment

One of the greatest values of the candlestick chart is the ability to read
market sentiment regarding a stock. To illustrate consider the
following example of a stock traded from the eyes of a Western chart
trader and then from the eyes of a candlestick chart trader.

Western Chart Trader

At the close of the day's session you observe that the stock closed well above your entry price (2), which
leaves you very content with your trade.

After the close of day 2, you open the financial section of the paper and check the closing price of the
stock and observe that not only is your stock well above your entry price, but also has gained slightly (it is
worth mentioning
that most western papers only publish closing prices while Japanese papers publish both opening and
closing prices).

On day 3 you open and the newspaper to check the close and notice a slight dip in your stocks price but
you do not panic, because you are still well in the money.

You convince yourself that the stock has only dipped slightly relative to the entry day close (day 1), and
should resume its up trend on the next day.

On day 4, you check the close and notice that the stock has fallen significantly relative to the prior days
close.

You are now concerned about protecting the profits that you had previously bragged about just days
before.

On the beginning of day 6, you call your broker (or logon to your online trading account) and place a
market order to sell at the first opportunity.

At the day 5 markets open, the stock opens sharply lower and continues to fall.

Your order is executed at a price several points below where you entered.

You then shrug off the trade as an unpredictable misfortune, and move on to the next trade.

Figure 5

Candlestick Chart Trader

Now suppose you are a candlestick chart trader trading the same stock
using a candlestick chart (Figure 6).

At the beginning of Day 1 you enter the stock based on a candlestick
pattern entry signal (we will discuss proper entries in detail latter in
this unit).

At the close of the day's session you observe that the stock closed well
above your entry price (2) which leaves you very content with your
trade, but also moves you into a state of caution for signs of a change
in trend or reversal.

After the close of day 2, you observe the candlestick formed for the
day and notice that the real body is small indicating that there was a
tug of war between the bears and the bulls.

You also observe that the real body is read in color indicating that the
stock closed lower than the open indicating that the bulls actually lost
the tug of war to the bears.

Based on these observations you conclude that the bullish rally in the
stock has ceased, and the bullish sentiment of the market regarding
the stock is changing.

You decided to sell your position at the days close, or at the market
open on the next day to lock in your profit.

If this were a stock in the midst of an overall downtrend, you may
decide to short the stock under the low of the day 2 bearish
candlestick.

As you can see the candlestick chart trader has the advantage over
the western chart trader in that he can use the signals generated in
each candlestick to help foretell the changing sentiments of the market
regarding a stock.

The open to close relationship revealed in the candlestick is more
effective than the close-to-close relationship commonly used by
western traders.


Figure 6

An Introduction To CANDLESTICKS, PART 1

PART 1

AN INTRODUCTION TO CANDLESTICKS

Technical Analysis vs. Fundamental Analysis

There are two types of ways to analysis the price of a stock, fundamental
analysis, and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis is used to gauge the
price of a stock based on the fundamental attributes of the stock, such as
price/earnings ratio, Return on invest, and associated economic statistics.

Technical analysis deals more with the psychological component of trading a
stock, and is influenced for the most part on emotionalism.

The technical analyst is seeking to answer the question "how are other traders
viewing this stock, and how will that affect the price in the immediate future".

As you will see, the candlestick chart is the most effective way to gauge the
sentiments of other traders.

History of Candlestick Charts

The Japanese were the first to use technical analysis to trade one of
the world's first rice futures markets in the 1600s. A Japanese man by
the name of Homma who traded the futures markets in the 1700s
discovered that although there was link between supply and demand
of the rice, the markets were also strongly influenced by the emotions
of the traders.

Homma realized that he could benefit from understanding the
emotions to help predict the future prices. He understood that there
could be a vast difference between value and price of rice.

This difference between value and price is as valid today with stocks,
as it was with rice in Japan centuries ago.

The principles established by Homma in measuring market emotions in
a stock are the basis for the Candlestick Chart analysis, which we will
present in this seminar.

Candlestick vs. Western Charts

The Western bar chart is made up of four parts components, open,
high, low, and close. The vertical bar depicts the high and low of the
session, while the left horizontal line
represents the open and the right
horizontal line represents the close.

Figure 1

The Japanese Candlestick Line (Figure 2) uses the same data (open,
high, low, and close) to create a much more visual graphic to depict
what is going on with the stock. The thick part of the candlestick line
is called the real body. It represents the range between the session’s
opening and closing prices. If the real body is red, it means that the
close of the session was lower than the open. If the real body is
green, it means that the close was higher than the open. The lines
above and below the body are the shadows. The shadows represent
the session’s price extremes. The shadow above the real body is
called the upper shadow and the shadow below the real body is called
the lower shadow. The top of the upper shadow is the high of the day,
and the bottom of the lower shadow is the low of the day.

Figure 2

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

HangSeng chart


*No Comment.......

DowJones chart


*No Comment.........

Saturday, January 17, 2009

Stock Pick - KUB


*After my 2 stocks comment about GPacket & KNM trigger by so called 2 blogger big brother, now i want to post here one of my stock pick recently, my other stock pick no need to say here la ok.
*ok here we go :
>>> 1) KUB oredi form symm triangle on both chart n RSI signal.
>>> 2) stock price breakout at end of triangle apex when it breach 0.28 resistant for a buy call trigger at 0.29 on monday 5th Jan 2009. (c chart 4 confirmation)
>>> 3) at the same time RSI signal also breaking its symm triangle formation 1 day earlier on friday 2nd Jan 2009, RSI line break tru 0.54 high of the triangle to settle at 55.7 that day. The nx day price breakout happen on monday 5th Jan 2009. (please c chart la oii) kekeke
>>> 4) its also a mid BB breakup together with price xtion, altho BB break is the same day as RSI break a day earlier.
>>> 5) my GREPS method only enter buy on monday 5th from price range breakout of 0.28. So from the chart we can c, very strong support at 0.24, so the most logic TA stop order shud be place under 0.24, >> 05.01.09>BUY 0.29-SELLstop 0.23 (c chart if blur blur)
>>> 6) after the breakout on 5th Jan 2009, the nx 3 days KUB consolidate n retest the 0.28 breakout again on the 3rd day after breakout, on the 8 Jan 2009 KUB close with a spinning doji (watever they call it) at price ngam ngam breakput point of 0.28, but b4 close big crocs try to shake out contra players or weak holders out by hitting 0.275.
>>> 7) btw after the breakout at 0.28, KUB hit high 0.31, n the beauty of TA, from FIBO calculation the pullback level at 0.275/0.28 on 8 Jan 2009 is also at 50% FIBO, 0.28 also the breakout point level.
>>> 8) after the pullback on 8 Jan, KUB make a small kurakura push to high 0.33 on 13 Jan 2009 7 at the same time RSI making a double line top.
>>> 9) SO, 05.01.09>BUY 0.29-SELLstop change to 0.26 from 0.23 , yeah yeah its still a lost because its trend follower style, hold position till hit the stop order.
>>> 10) BUT, yes BUT...hehe, Resistant candle body target at 0.34 on 10 Nov 2008, shadow candle resistant at 0.35 on 11 Nov 2008, KUB hit high of 0.33 on 13 Jan 2009.
>>> 11) from current chart KUB might retest the 0.28 breakout again bcoz its also act as mid BB support.

** SO the conclusion :- 1) trend follower shud still hold KUB BUY at 0.29 with adjusted stop at 0.26 from initial strong stop at 0.23.
2) ikan bilis trader like me surely oredi "lari kuat kuat" at 2sen 3sen profit, very poor me FA dunno to use, TA also so so oni, always blur blur one... but no worry if go higher i'll use jossstick & backhand method, a guarantee sure win one... wakakakkaaka
3) so logically after scalp 2 3 sen, i can still park to buy back at same price 0.29 or slitely higher then 0.26 stop at 0.27... C la how, errr sorry for my very poor engrishhhh, hehe

ASTALAVISTA & ADIOS....

my Comment about KNM


>>> I just cannot tahan to give my view about another HOT stock "so call lah", its KNM or KNN to fred, wakakakaka
>>> 1st i would like to say to Samgang there's no BUY signal at all at 1.75 using TA method, maybe Confuse'ion Investo TAFA (Try And Fuse Anything) system give him the buy signal (maybe he dream about it) hehe, IF Malaysia can ShotSell i definitely will SHOT at 1.75 level bcoz its very clear all SELL mode in TA when break under 1.73 EMA,RSI,MACD,ADX,STOCH,BBand etc etc....
>>> 1.75 level at at 15 Aug 2008 break down occur, n KNM never stop from trending down till it made a bid whack down on 16 Oct 2008 to hit 0.39 from opening of 0.67 same day & close with a very strong Long Legged DOJI or HAMMER time close.
>>> BUT, yes BUT.. its still not a buy signal yet, after the hammer KNM go to DING DONG mode or we can say Confuse'ion Investo so call favourite Backhand Smash PING PONG trade system (its a sure win u know, bcoz backhand maa)
>>> on 28 Oct 2008 KNM try to retest 0.39 again but oni get to hit 0.415 low this time... BTW at this current level RSI oredi showing a BULLDIV pattern. BUT yes still BUT...hehe, there still no buy entry, maybe uncle/aunty BUY LOW type system la.
>>> KNM rebound to as high as 0.71 on 5th Nov 2008, but still no buy signal, TA traders very sabar one, we need a reaction 1st to see how low KNM can pulback & yupp KNM pullback nx 2 days to 0.595 or at 38% FIBO pulllback level.
>>> BUY signal trigger when KNM break above 0.71 on 11 Nov 2008, SO buy confirm at 0.72 with stop place under the 0.595 FIBO 38% pullback, SO stop at 0.58 la...
>>> KNM try to push higher but yes, but again... its move up meet up resistant from 20EMA, oni manage to go as high as 0.765 on 12th Nov 2008, then make a slow pullback to low of 0.625 on 18 Nov 2008, from here KNM try to be HERO (uncle/aunty fav move) n rebound the nx day but oni to as high 0.665 but manage to break previous day high 0.655, but all still under EMA4, 7, 20, 50, 100... n oso 0.625 ngam ngam at mid BB level... SO TA method will adjust stop at under 0.625... so 0.61 the new stop move higher from the initial 0.58 stop.
>>> the nx day 20 Nov 2008 0.61 stop level hit... meaning Buy 0.72-Sell 0.61 = -0.09 loss, its a loss but TA method oredi limit the loss at 0.61 level, but easily can scalp n win 3 4 sen one & after break this 0.61 stop KNM go down the Long'kang all the way to 0.395 again on 9 Dec 2008... Meaning PIVOT or strong support level for KNM at 0.39 level again manage to tahan the pushdown. BUT yes BUT still no new buy signal yet.
>>> KNM ding dong from 9 Dec 2008 with a small movement till 31 Dec 2008... but it manage to push to high of 0.435 on 15 Dec 2008, at this consolidation period RSI oredi showing a BULLDIV pattern, SO for TA method any breakout above 0.435 is a must buy with stop order place under 0.39.
>>> 2nd Jan 2009, KNM breakout above above 0.435, SO TA method oredi a BUY at 0.44 with stop place under 0.39 at 0.38.... STOP a must info here if not Confuse'ion Investo will marah....wakakakaka, bcoz last time he mention i'm a new blogger maa with low hits, to me- yes i tell u blogger n trader is 2 different thing ya, remember that!!
>>> SO till yday friday 17 jan 2009, KNM buy entry still maintain at 0.44 with STOP under 0.39... still a lost of 5sen, BUT yes BUT again... KNM hit 0.52 on 12Jan 2009, meaning if you a scalper you can get easily maximum 8sen IF u park to sell at 0.52 la... but from 0.44 buy entry easily 3 to 5sen scalp, sap sap sui la... but for trend follower or position trader they'll still hold KNM with stop under 0.39.

*SO THE CONCLUSION SAMGANG MUST KNOW WHAT IS THE REAL TA METHOD OR CONFUSE'ION INVESTO TAFA METHOD.... N CANNOT LABEL ALL TA AS HIS FOOT, JGN MARAH YA... WAKAKAKAKKA
*WAA, LONG TIME I NEVER GIVE MY TA VIEW ABOUT ANY STOCKS, VERY SYIOK ONE LA... KEKEKEKEK
*DISCLAIMER: I'M VERY SORRY TO ANY NAME MENTION HERE, ALL NAME ONLY FICTION BTW, I TOKKOK ONI MAAA, HEHE

ADIOS

my Comment about GPacket

>>> After reading for quite sometimes about the TA/FA blog war between Samgang & Ah Seng (of Confuse'ion Investo blog), i decided i'll give my TA view (so often called by Samgang- TA as "his foot", i wonder why ??? wakakakkaa)


>>> No doubt Samgang's FA called very good. but he cannot label all TA traders as "his foot" wakakaka, laugh again, what's wrong with me.
>>> From the above GPacket chart that Samgang claim TA asking to BUY at 4.50, i laugh my assss when he mention, why Ah Seng TA asking to buy Gpacket at 4.50 level, my answer very simple, Ah Seng maybe CONFUSE about the real TA trading (bikin malu the genuine TA traders oni) any TA trader can see from chart above that 100% no buy signal for GPacket at 4.50 level, full stop.
>>> n errr, Samgang make a mistake when saying Ah Seng buy call last year 2008. It suppose to be 2007.
>>> u guys can see from the chart above only BUY SIGNAL from TA signal at 30 Aug 2007 when GPacket broke through 4.06, meaning BUY confirm at 4.08 price with 1st stop at 3.68 using 29 Aug 2007 bar low. (for those so called TA trader that dunno what stop meaning, i no time to explain here, go "BACA" buku, wakakakka, laugh again.
>>> for almost 1 month GPacket move up slowly like "kurakura" till it hit the Stop Loss or now Stop Profit already at 4.16 on 24 Sept 2007. BUT bear in mind GPacket hit high 4.44 on 12 Sept 2007, meaning instead waiting 4.16 STOP profit to hit, savvy TA traders may oredi cabut at 4.20, 4.30, 4.40 level... "sindri mau ingat la to take profit ya"
>>> its a small profit about 0.08 oni, but its still money maaa.
>>> after GPacket hit 4.16 STOP Profit, it went down the Long'kang all the way with our Confuse'ion Investo holding to dear live till now...oppssss - I hope Confuse'ion Investo oredi cut loss la "IF" he using TA method as guidance. wakakakka, laugh again, really sumthing wrong with me.


>>> OK, now lets move to current GPacket price level.
>>> Yupp, Samgang very tru, at 0.63 there's no way TA method will give any signal to buy, but, yes BUT, TA entry signal ringing a bell, screaming a BUY signal entry emerge at 0.71. So when it crack tru to 0.72 GPacket trigger BUY signal on 11 Dec 2008... most my clients bought at this break out & still holding till now.
>>> ok, after break BUY hit at 0.72 , i must give a stop level if not Confuse'ion Investo will "marah" like last time he try to teach me about stop, wakakakkaak, laugh again. OK 1st STOP at 0.58 under the last strong support low at 0.59.
>>> when GPacket move higher 2nd STOP emerge n stop change to 0.67, yupp still a loss for 2nd stop. & now when GPacket spike up to 1.31 on 12 Jan 2009, the 3rd STOP emerge, but now becomes STOP PROFIT oredi at 1.02 level, but still any savvy TA traders surely oredi block PROFIT at 1.10, 1.20, 1.30 level.
>>> SO nx move just wait & hold the 0.72 BUY entry till GPacket hit the 1.02 STOP Profit level, now just wait, sit back & watch the show....

*I THINK ENOUGH FOR MY BLA BLA BLA BLA, SO THE CONCLUSION NO MATTER WHO IS RIGHT OR WRONG, FA power or TA power (Samgang claim TA as his foot), THE REAL THING IS TO MAKE $$$ like what cpotrader always say.... kekekekek, sori cpotrader i pinjam ur word.

*TO ALL, JANGAN MARAH YA.... ADIOS

ps- btw i would love to here any FA method to trade Futures market, i know one remiser using FA method to trade futures... wakakaaka, less then 5 month go down the Long'kang oredi

CPO 2011 (GT2 System Performance)

MAY 2011 contract
1)17.02>LONG 3729-SELL 3623 = -106 (21.02)

2)21.02>SHOT 3623-BUY 3538 = +85 (23.02)

3)23.02>LONG 3538-SELL 3518 = -20 (28.02)

4)24.02>SHOT 3506-BUY 3413 x 2lots = +186 (24.02)

5)28.02>SHOT 3518-BUY 3525 = -7 (01.03)

6)01.03>LONG 3525-SELL 3625 = +100 (08.03)

7)08.03>SHOT 3625-BUY 3598 = +27 (09.03)

8)09.03>LONG 3598-SELL 3406 = -192 (11.03)

9)10.03>SHOT 3501-BUY 3473 x 2lots = +56 (10.03)

10)11.03>SHOT 3406-BUY 3347 = +59 (14.03)

11)14.03>LONG 3347-SELL 3371 = +24 (15.03)

JUNE 2011 contract
12)15.03>LONG 3360-SELL 3434 = +74 (21.03)

13)21.03>SHOT 3434-BUY 3347 = +87 (23.03)

14)23.03>LONG 3347-SELL 3425 = +78 (11.04)

15)24.03>SHOT 3287-BUY 3249 x 2lots = +76 (24.03)

16)31.03>SHOT 3302-BUY 3343 x 2lots= -82 (31.03)

17)05.04>SHOT 3368.5-BUY 3365 x 2lots= +7 (05.04)

18)07.04>SHOT 3339-BUY 3342 x 2lots= -6 (07.04)

19)11.04>SHOT 3425-BUY 3344 = +81 (13.04)

20)13.04>LONG 3344-SELL 3307 = -37 (14.04)

21)14.04>SHOT 3307-BUY 3269 = +38 (18.04)

JULY 2011 contract
22)18.04>LONG 3253-SELL 3355 = +102 (25.04)

23)19.04>SHOT 3220-BUY 3240 x 2lots = -40 (19.04)

24)25.04>SHOT 3355-BUY 3334 = +21 (26.04)

25)26.04>LONG 3334-SELL 3290 = -44 (27.04)

26)27.04>SHOT 3290-BUY 3320 = -30 (28.04)

27)28.04>LONG 3320-SELL 3243 = -77 (04.05)

28)04.05>SHOT 3243-BUY 3277 = -34 (05.05)

29)05.05>LONG 3277-SELL 3175 = -102 (06.05)

30)06.05>SHOT 3175-BUY 3203 = -28 (09.05)

31)09.05>LONG 3203-SELL 3264 =+61 (10.05)

32)10.05>SHOT 3264-BUY 3252 = +12 (13.05)

33)13.05>LONG 3252-SELL 3370 = +118 (19.05)

AUGUST 2011 contract
34)19.05>LONG 3339-SELL 3388 = +49 (23.05)

35)23.05>SHOT 3388-BUY 3385 = +3 (24.05)

36)24.05>LONG 3385-SELL 3370 = -15 (25.05)

37)25.05>SHOT 3370-BUY 3386 = -16 (25.05)

38)25.05>LONG 3386-SELL 3418 = +32 (26.05)

39)26.05>SHOT 3418-BUY 3439 = -21 (26.05)

40)26.05>LONG 3439-SELL 3405 = -34 (26.05)

41)26.05>SHOT 3405-BUY 3442 = -37 (27.05)

42)27.05>LONG 3442-SELL 3440 = -2 (30.05)

43)30.05>SHOT 3440-BUY 3373 = +67 (02.06)

44)02.06>LONG 3373-SELL 3441 = +68 (03.06)

45)03.06>SHOT 3441-BUY 3254 = +187 (13.06)

46)13.06>LONG 3254-SELL 3256 = +2 (16.06)

SEPTEMBER 2011 contract
47)16.06>SHOT 3254-BUY 3215 = +39 (20.06)

48)20.06>LONG 3215-SELL 3212 = -3 (22.06)

49)22.06>SHOT 3212-BUY 3178 = +34 (23.06)

50)23.06>LONG 3178-SELL 3144 = -34 (24.06)

51)24.06>SHOT 3144-BUY 3121 = +23 (24.06)

52)24.06>LONG 3121-SELL 3076 = -45 (27.06)

53)27.06>SHOT 3076-BUY 3080 = -4 (28.06)

54)28.06>LONG 3080-SELL 3113 = +33 (30.06)

55)30.06>SHOT 3113-BUY 3071 = +42 (04.07)

56)04.07>LONG 3071-SELL 3054 = -17 (04.07)

57)04.07>SHOT 3054-BUY 3046 = +8 (06.07)

58)06.07>LONG 3046-SELL 3074 = +28 (08.07)

59)08.07>SHOT 3074-BUY 3045 = +29 (12.07)

60)12.07>LONG 3045-SELL 3115 = +70 (15.07)

61)15.07>SHOT 3115-BUY 3134 = -19 (18.07)

OCTOBER 2011 contract
62)18.07>SHOT 3125-BUY 3082 = +43 (19.07)

63)19.07>LONG 3082-SELL 3140 = +58 (21.07)

64)21.07>SHOT 3140-BUY 3100 = +40 (25.07)

65)25.07>LONG 3100-SELL 3115 = +15 (28.07)

66)28.07>SHOT 3115-BUY 3123 = -8 (28.07)

67)28.07>LONG 3123-SELL 3086 = -37 (29.07)

68)29.07>SHOT 3086-BUY 3100 = -14 (29.07)

69)29.07>LONG 3100-SELL 3120 = +20 (02.08)

70)02.08>SHOT 3120-BUY 3137 = -17 (03.08)

71)03.08>LONG 3137-SELL 3116 = -21 (04.08)

72)04.08>SHOT 3116-BUY 3050 = +66 (05.08)

73)05.08>LONG 3050-SELL 3033 = -17 (08.08)

74)08.08>SHOT 3033-BUY 2959 = +74 (09.08)

75)09.08>LONG 2959-SELL 3004 = +45 (12.08)

76)12.08>SHOT 3004-BUY 3054 = -50 (15.08)

77)15.08>LONG 3054-SELL 3057 * = +3 (15.08) *sell because chart hang from 3pm.

NOVEMBER 2011 contract
78)16.08>SHOT 3019-BUY 3025 = -6 (17.08)

79)17.08>LONG 3025-SELL 3003 = -22 (19.08)

80)19.08>SHOT 3000-BUY 3045 = -45 (23.08)

81)23.08>LONG 3045-SELL 3051 = +6 (24.08)

82)24.08>SHOT 3051-BUY 2978 = +73 (26.08)

83)26.08>LONG 2978-SELL 3037 = +59 (05.09) #NO TRADE because raya holiday!!

84)05.09>SHOT 3037-LONG 3007 = +30 (06.09) #NO TRADE because of Bursa feed problem!!

85)06.09>LONG 3007-SELL 3032 = +25 (08.09)

86)08.09>SHOT 3032-BUY 3055 = -23 (09.09)

87)09.09>LONG 3055-SELL 3021 = -34 (13.09) *

88)13.09>SHOT 3021-LONG 3023 = -2 (14.09)

89)14.09>LONG 3023-SELL 2993 = -30 (14.09)

90)14.09>SELL 2993-BUY 3009 = -16 (14.09)

91)14.09>LONG 3009-SELL 3038 = +29 (19.09)

DECEMBER 2011 contract
92)19.09>LONG 3038-SELL 3028 = -10 (22.09)

93)22.09>SHOT 3028-BUY 2915 = +113 (26.09)

94)26.09>LONG 2915-SELL 2886 = -29 (28.09)

95)28.09>SHOT 2886-BUY 2898 = -12 (29.09)

96)29.09>LONG 2898-SELL 2826 = -72 (04.10)

97)04.10>SHOT 2826-BUY 2775 = +51 (06.10)

98)06.10>LONG 2775-SELL 2783 = +8 (07.10)

99)07.10>SHOT 2783-BUY 2866 = -83 (12.10)

100)12.10>LONG 2866-SELL 2838 = -28 (13.10)

101)13.10>SHOT 2838-BUY 2876 = -38 (14.10)

102)14.10>LONG 2876-SELL 2824 = -52 (18.10)

JANUARY 2012 contract
103)18.10>SHOT 2832-BUY 2874 = -42 (19.10)

104)19.10>LONG 2874-SELL 2986 = +112 (27.10)

105)27.10>SHOT 2986-BUY 2947 = +39 (02.11)

106)02.11>LONG 2947-SELL 2937 = -10 (03.11)

107)03.11>SHOT 2937-BUY 2970 = -33 (03.11)

108)03.11>LONG 2970-SELL 2993 = +23 (04.11)

109)04.11>SHOT 2993-BUY 3018 = -25 (04.11)

110)04.11>LONG 3018-SELL 3030 = +12 (09.11)

111)09.11>SHOT 3030-BUY 3085 = -55 (10.11) ##

112)10.11>LONG 3085-SHOT 3163 = +78 (14.11)

113)14.11>SHOT 3163-LONG 3199 = -36 (15.11)

114)15.11>LONG 3199-SELL 3188 = -11 (15.11)

FEBRUARY 2012 contract
115)15.11>SHOT 3188-BUY 3230 = -42 (16.11)

116)16.11>LONG 3229-SELL 3239 = +10 (17.11)

117)17.11>SHOT 3239-BUY 3261 = -22 (18.11)

118)18.11>LONG 3261-SELL 3216 = -45 (21.11)

119)21.11>SHOT 3216-BUY 3182 = +34 (22.11)

120)22.11>LONG 3182-SELL 3147 = -35 (23.11)

121)23.11>SHOT 3147-BUY 3130 = +17 (24.11)

122)24.11>LONG 3130-SELL 3080 = -50 (25.11)

123)25.11>SHOT 3080-BUY 3053 = +27 (01.12)

124)01.12>LONG 3053-SELL ?? =


TOTAL POINTS = From 1st Jan 2011>> +1273 points